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This Monday 02 Aug at 02:00 PM GMT the latest US ISM Manufacturing PMI number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 80% probability that EURUSD will trend down following the news event.
This probability is based on the last 12 US ISM Manufacturing PMI events, in which 4 of the last 5 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of EURUSD.
Here are images of the past events:
Thursday 01 Jul at 02:00 PM GMT:
Monday 03 May at 02:00 PM GMT:
Monday 01 Feb at 03:00 PM GMT:
Thursday 01 Oct at 02:00 PM GMT:
Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance