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This Friday 23 Jul at 07:30 AM GMT the latest DE Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash number will be released.
If the number is greater than than economists’ consensus there is a 80% probability that EURUSD will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 DE Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash events, in which 8 of the last 10 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of EURUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Wednesday 23 Jun at 07:30 AM GMT:

Friday 23 Apr at 07:30 AM GMT:

Wednesday 24 Mar at 08:30 AM GMT:

Friday 19 Feb at 08:30 AM GMT:

Wednesday 16 Dec at 08:30 AM GMT:

Monday 23 Nov at 08:30 AM GMT:

Friday 23 Oct at 07:30 AM GMT:

Wednesday 23 Sep at 07:30 AM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance