United Kingdom Balance of Trade News Event – a possible $170 movement on AUDUSD

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect a $170 movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 10 Sep 16:00. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 10 Sep 16:00 if the released value is > £-2B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Jul 21:00
11 Jun 16:00
12 May 16:00
12 Nov 18:00
09 Oct 17:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).