Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect a $279.451 movement on USDCAD within 12 hours following the event release at 19 May 16:00. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 19 May 16:00 if the released value is < 676.5K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 20:30	21 Jan 20:30
15 Oct 19:30	10 Sep 18:30
13 Aug 18:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).