We expect a $320 movement on AUDUSD within 4 hours following the release of Durable Goods Orders MoM at 27 Sep 22:30. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 27 Sep 22:30 if the released value is > 0.7%. A price movement of 32 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Aug 22:30	24 Dec 00:30
26 Nov 00:30	27 Oct 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).