We expect a $130 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the release of Inflation Rate YoY at 11 Sep 22:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 11 Sep 22:30 if the released value is > 1.2%. A price movement of 13 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Mar 23:30

14 Feb 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).