We expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 400K. A price movement of 36 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Oct 23:30	03 Sep 22:30
04 Jun 22:30	07 May 22:30
06 Feb 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).