We expect USDCHF to trend upwards later today. Based on these past United States Fed Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0.5%. A price movement of 226 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jan 06:00	04 Nov 05:00
23 Sep 04:00	17 Jun 04:00
29 Apr 04:00	18 Mar 05:00
28 Jan 06:00	06 Nov 06:00
17 Sep 04:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).