Want to know why AUDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 BoJ Interest Rate Decision events in Japan, we expect a $430 movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 15 Jul 13:00. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 15 Jul 13:00 if the released value is = -0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jun 12:45
22 May 13:00
16 Mar 16:00
31 Oct 15:00
30 Jul 13:00
20 Jun 13:00
25 Apr 13:00
15 Mar 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).