Want to know why AUDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect a $120 movement on AUDUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 06 Aug 00:00. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 06 Aug 00:00 if the released value is > 55

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jul 00:00
06 May 00:00
04 Apr 01:00
06 Feb 02:00
08 Jan 02:00
06 Nov 02:00
06 Sep 00:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).