Want to know why AUDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect a $150 movement on AUDUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 13 Jan 20:30. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 13 Jan 20:30 if the released value is < £-3.2B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Dec 20:30
11 Nov 20:30
10 May 18:30
10 Apr 18:30
11 Feb 20:30