Want to know why AUDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Industrial Production YoY events in Euro Area, we expect a $130 movement on AUDUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 12 Jan 21:00. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 12 Jan 21:00 if the released value is < 0.6% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Aug 19:00
12 May 19:00
14 Apr 19:00
15 Feb 21:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).