Want to know why AUDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Japan, we expect a $50 movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 20 Jan 23:30. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 20 Jan 23:30 if the released value is > 0.7%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Dec 23:30
19 Jul 23:30
17 Jun 23:30
18 Feb 23:30