Want to know why AUDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 ECB Interest Rate Decision events in Euro Area, we expect a $150 movement on AUDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 23 Jan 12:45. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Jan 12:45 if the released value is = 0%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Oct 11:45
12 Sep 11:45
25 Jul 11:45
10 Apr 11:45
07 Mar 12:45
13 Dec 12:45
25 Oct 11:45
26 Jul 11:45