Based on past United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news events there is a 71.43% chance of AUDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 0.6%. A price movement of 57 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Feb 00:30	24 Dec 00:30
24 Aug 22:30	25 May 22:30
24 Mar 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).