Want to know why ES is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect a $133,281.308 movement on ES within 2 hours following the event release at 27 Dec 23:30. We expect ES to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 27 Dec 23:30 if the released value is < 2.7% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Sep 23:30
30 Aug 23:30
29 Jul 23:30
29 Apr 23:30
29 Mar 23:30
01 Mar 23:30
28 Jan 23:30