Want to know why EURUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect a $110 movement on EURUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 18 Dec 11:01. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 18 Dec 11:01 if the released value is > -31

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Sep 09:01
22 May 09:01
24 Apr 09:01
31 Mar 10:01
28 Feb 11:01

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).