Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a $450 movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 07 May 22:30. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 07 May 22:30 if the released value is < 978K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Jan 00:30	05 Dec 00:30
02 Oct 22:30	04 Sep 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).