Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United Kingdom, we expect a $280 movement on EURUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 16 Jun 16:00. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 16 Jun 16:00 if the released value is > 1.8%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 May 16:00	17 Feb 18:00
20 Jan 18:00	19 Aug 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).