Want to know why EURUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect a $150 movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 29 Jul 23:30. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 29 Jul 23:30 if the released value is < 3% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Apr 23:30
29 Mar 23:30
01 Mar 23:30
28 Jan 23:30
24 Dec 23:30
29 Oct 23:30