Want to know why EURUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect a $240 movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 07 Jan 00:30. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 07 Jan 00:30 if the released value is > 1688K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Dec 00:30
25 Nov 00:30
11 Nov 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).