Want to know why EURUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Business Confidence events in Euro Area, we expect a $350 movement on EURUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 30 Jan 21:00. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 30 Jan 21:00 if the released value is < -0.19 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Jan 21:00
28 Nov 21:00
27 Jun 19:00
28 May 19:00
29 Apr 19:00
28 Mar 21:00
30 Jan 21:00