Want to know why GBPUSD could trend downwards for the next 48 hours?

Based on the last 12 Consumer Confidence events in Japan, we could see a $1,360 movement on GBPUSD within the next 48 hours. GBPUSD could trend downwards for the next 48 hours because the released value is > 33.5

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 May 15:00
29 Oct 16:00
30 Jun 15:00
31 May 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).