Want to know why GBPUSD is going downwards for the next 4 hours?

Based on the last 12 Employment Change events in Australia, we expect a $210 movement on GBPUSD within the next 4 hours. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 4 hours because the released value is > 10K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Jan 11:30
15 Aug 11:30
13 Jun 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).