Want to know why GBPUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 GfK Consumer Confidence events in United Kingdom, we expect a $1,270 movement on GBPUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 21 Aug 09:01. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 21 Aug 09:01 if the released value is > -25

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Jul 09:01
22 May 09:01
24 Apr 09:01
31 Mar 10:01
28 Feb 11:01
27 Sep 09:01

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).