Want to know why GBPUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a $730 movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 06 Feb 00:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 06 Feb 00:30 if the released value is < 50K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Jan 00:30
02 Oct 22:30
04 Sep 22:30
03 Apr 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).