Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect a $410 movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 14 May 22:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 14 May 22:30 if the released value is < 1% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jan 00:30	17 Dec 00:30
16 Sep 22:30	14 Aug 22:30
15 May 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).