Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect a $470 movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 01 Jul 22:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Jul 22:30 if the released value is > 3382K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jun 22:30	03 Jun 22:30
06 May 22:30	29 Apr 22:30
22 Apr 22:30	15 Apr 22:30
08 Apr 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).