Want to know why GBPUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect a $470 movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 01 Jul 12:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Jul 12:30 if the released value is > 3382K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jun 12:30
03 Jun 12:30
06 May 12:30
29 Apr 12:30
22 Apr 12:30
15 Apr 12:30
08 Apr 12:30