Want to know why GBPUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in France, we expect a $330 movement on GBPUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 13 Aug 15:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 13 Aug 15:30 if the released value is < 8.3% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 May 15:30
14 Feb 17:30
20 Nov 17:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).