Want to know why GBPUSD is going upwards today?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United Kingdom, we expect a $1,350 movement on GBPUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 10 Sep 16:00. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 10 Sep 16:00 if the released value is < £-2B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Apr 16:00
12 Feb 18:00
10 Dec 18:00
11 Sep 16:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).