Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect a 87 pip movement on GBPUSD within 4 hours following the event release at 2022-12-07 00:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2022-12-07 00:30 if the released value is > $-80B

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Aug 22:30	07 Jun 22:30
09 Feb 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).