Want to know why NZDUSD is going downwards for the next 2 hours?

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect a $270 movement on NZDUSD within the next 2 hours. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards for the next 2 hours because the released value is > -0.2%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Sep 12:30
16 Jul 12:30
17 Feb 13:30
16 Oct 12:30