Want to know why NZDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect a $210 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 27 Sep 22:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 27 Sep 22:30 if the released value is < 0.7% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jul 22:30
24 Jun 22:30
24 Mar 23:30
28 Jan 00:30
25 Sep 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).