Want to know why NZDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect a $490 movement on NZDUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 01 Feb 10:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 01 Feb 10:30 if the released value is < 2.8% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Nov 10:30
30 Jul 09:30
30 Apr 09:30
30 Mar 10:30
02 Mar 10:30
29 Jan 10:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).