Want to know why NZDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect a $540 movement on NZDUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 24 Mar 23:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 24 Mar 23:30 if the released value is < -0.5% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Jan 00:30
25 Nov 00:30
24 Jun 22:30
27 May 22:30
26 Apr 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).