Want to know why NZDUSD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect a $160 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 06 Jul 14:00. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 06 Jul 14:00 if the released value is > 50

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 May 14:00
03 Apr 14:00
04 Mar 15:00
05 Feb 15:00
07 Jan 15:00
05 Nov 15:00
05 Sep 14:00