Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect a $230 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 13 Jan 00:30. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 13 Jan 00:30 if the released value is > 7%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Nov 00:30	13 Oct 23:30
11 Aug 22:30	13 Jul 22:30
10 Jun 22:30	13 Apr 22:30
14 Jan 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).