Want to know why S is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, we expect a $16,870.04 movement on S within 2 hours following the event release at 03 Mar 23:30. We expect S to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 03 Mar 23:30 if the released value is < 2.7% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Jan 23:30
29 Nov 23:30
30 Sep 23:30
29 Jul 23:30
29 Mar 23:30
01 Mar 23:30