Want to know why USDCAD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect a $1,491.478 movement on USDCAD within 48 hours following the event release at 03 Aug 00:00. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 03 Aug 00:00 if the released value is > 60.9

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Apr 01:00
02 Mar 02:00
06 Jan 02:00
03 Nov 02:00
04 Aug 00:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).