Want to know why USDCAD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, we expect a $374.179 movement on USDCAD within 4 hours following the event release at 09 Mar 00:30. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 09 Mar 00:30 if the released value is < $-87.1B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jan 00:30
08 Dec 00:30
05 Oct 23:30
05 Aug 22:30
06 Mar 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).