Want to know why USDCAD is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect a $633.106 movement on USDCAD within 2 hours following the event release at 01 Jul 14:00. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Jul 14:00 if the released value is < 49.5 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Jun 14:00
02 Mar 15:00
03 Jan 15:00
01 Nov 14:00
01 Oct 14:00
03 Sep 14:00
01 Aug 14:00