Want to know why USDCHF is going downwards for the next 2 hours?

We expect USDCHF to trend downwards for the next 2 hours. Based on these past Japan Consumer Confidence news events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 33. A price movement of 10 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Apr 05:00
03 Mar 05:00
05 Jan 05:00
02 Dec 05:00
31 Aug 05:00