We expect USDCHF to trend downwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past Japan Unemployment Rate news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 2.5%. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Mar 10:30

28 Dec 10:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).