Want to know why USDJPY is going downwards today?

Based on the last 12 BoE Interest Rate Decision events in United Kingdom, we expect a $309.06 movement on USDJPY within 2 hours following the event release at 26 Mar 23:00. We expect USDJPY to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 26 Mar 23:00 if the released value is = 0.1%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Dec 23:00
01 Aug 21:00
20 Jun 21:00
02 May 21:00
07 Feb 23:00
20 Dec 23:00
01 Nov 23:00
13 Sep 21:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).