Want to know why USDJPY is going upwards for the next 4 hours?

Based on past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 75% chance of USDJPY trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 1435K. A price movement of 51 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

25 Aug 22:30
18 Aug 22:30
14 Jul 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).