Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect a $114.12 movement on USDJPY within 4 hours following the event release at 02 Oct 22:30. We expect USDJPY to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 02 Oct 22:30 if the released value is < 850K Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Sep 22:30

03 Apr 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).