What to trade around Australia Balance of Trade news event

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Australia, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < A$14B Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Mar 11:30
07 Feb 11:30
08 Sep 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).