What to trade around Australia Employment Change news event

Based on the last 12 Employment Change events in Australia, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 18 Mar 11:30 if the released value is < 30K. A price movement of 124 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Feb 11:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).