What to trade around Australia Employment Change news event

Based on the last 12 Employment Change events in Australia, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Jan 00:30 if the released value is < 15K. A price movement of 9 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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